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SAPIENSQ · Decision-maker simulation

We don't forecast rates.We simulate the committee that decides them.

Built for teams that track policy shifts and need an early, structured view.

Explore the simulation of record →

The workspace

Each screen has a distinct role.

The Published Forecast is the platform's current call. The Track Record evaluates that call after the decision.Scenario Lab runs private experiments without affecting the published forecast or its record.

The Track Record screen

Track Record

The published forecast, the market-implied view, and the record once the decision is known.

  • The published forecast beside Fed funds futures for each meeting.
  • Scores appear only after the decision is released.
  • Each meeting scored on its simulation of record, fixed when the Fed's blackout begins, and over the path of every published forecast.
The Simulator screen

Simulator

Test how the simulated committee responds to a hypothetical scenario or your own material.

  • Write a scenario, attach your own material, and simulate the committee’s response.
  • Choose N and see the sampling margin it carries before you run.
  • Scenario Lab runs never alter the published forecast.
The Events screen

Events

The scheduled releases and events leading up to each decision, month by month.

  • Every scheduled release between today and the next decision.
  • Add calendars from your Google account, including secondary calendars.
  • View your own events alongside scheduled releases in a single calendar.
The Run History screen

Run History

Every simulation run in the workspace, with its inputs, configuration and results.

  • Every run this workspace launched, with its inputs and configuration.
  • Every report includes N and its sampling margin.
  • Each report has a stable permalink for persistent citation.

The workspace also includes the Dashboard, the Published Forecast, and a definition of every figure it reports.

Pricing

Start with the published forecast. Your first 30 days are free.

Observer is free for the first 30 days, then $9.90/month. Light, Pro, Analyst, Desk, and Institution are 50% off for the first month. Billed monthly. Cancel anytime.